Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.006184 0.006914 0.007709 0.008639 0.009702 0.010881 0.012291
2025-03-02 0.005060 0.006066 0.007252 0.008763 0.010648 0.012941 0.015964
2025-03-09 0.004361 0.005469 0.006846 0.008700 0.011159 0.014345 0.018846
2025-03-16 0.003752 0.004871 0.006319 0.008355 0.011188 0.015051 0.020826
2025-03-23 0.003390 0.004535 0.006070 0.008315 0.011574 0.016229 0.023558
2025-03-30 0.003227 0.004441 0.006124 0.008678 0.012542 0.018317 0.027889
2025-04-06 0.002908 0.004093 0.005780 0.008416 0.012541 0.018938 0.030003
2025-04-13 0.002647 0.003802 0.005486 0.008191 0.012555 0.019562 0.032175
2025-04-20 0.002475 0.003624 0.005342 0.008173 0.012885 0.020713 0.035385
2025-04-27 0.002389 0.003570 0.005377 0.008438 0.013696 0.022751 0.040464
2025-05-04 0.002247 0.003416 0.005240 0.008405 0.013990 0.023917 0.044077
2025-05-11 0.002137 0.003301 0.005157 0.008450 0.014420 0.025365 0.048446
2025-05-18 0.001994 0.003129 0.004973 0.008319 0.014546 0.026315 0.052077
2025-05-25 0.001905 0.003040 0.004923 0.008422 0.015123 0.028218 0.058091
2025-06-01 0.001797 0.002911 0.004792 0.008363 0.015378 0.029507 0.062975
2025-06-08 0.001656 0.002715 0.004529 0.008034 0.015064 0.029580 0.065059
2025-06-15 0.001572 0.002613 0.004425 0.007995 0.015329 0.030908 0.070388
2025-06-22 0.001551 0.002619 0.004516 0.008342 0.016427 0.034202 0.081281
2025-06-29 0.001449 0.002473 0.004316 0.008092 0.016227 0.034537 0.084534
2025-07-06 0.001360 0.002345 0.004141 0.007877 0.016080 0.034976 0.088158
2025-07-13 0.001303 0.002272 0.004066 0.007860 0.016372 0.036501 0.095146
2025-07-20 0.001282 0.002266 0.004117 0.008113 0.017306 0.039736 0.107860
2025-07-27 0.001229 0.002196 0.004039 0.008081 0.017570 0.041312 0.115903